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CTS Treasury Trader is a strategy which trades Futures.

System trading US Bonds and 10 year notes. Trade about once a month, but is highly accurate. Futher information and backtested results can be seen at: http://www.creativetradingsystems.comread more...

- This text was submitted by the creator of this strategy. Collective2 verifies only trading signals and hypothetical trading results. We have not verified that text above is an accurate Strategy Description. (Contact System Developer)

Hypothetical Monthly Results

 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
2005                -  +11.7%+9.3%+1.3%(7.5%)+2.3%(6.6%)+1.5%(1.5%)+0.5%
2006(1.8%)+0.3%+1.0%+1.0%+1.9%(0.4%)(0.5%)+2.1%+1.0%(2.1%)+1.9%(2.9%)
2007(0.6%)(1.8%)(1.9%)(2.5%)  -  (0.1%)+2.2%+2.8%(0.8%)+2.3%+3.5%+2.4%
2008+5.6%(0.8%)+2.1%(4.5%)(1.2%)(1.7%)+0.1%+1.6%+0.8%(1.2%)+17.1%+13.1%
2009+7.3%+0.8%(0.6%)+1.0%+1.5%(1.6%)+0.9%(0.8%)(0.4%)(2.3%)+0.2%(0.6%)
2010(1.6%)(1.1%)(0.2%)+0.7%  -    -    -    -    -                    

 
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Subscription Terms

$90 per quarter, only if profitable (Details)

This is a pay-for-performance system. Subscriptions cost $90 at the end of each quarter, but only if the system has made profitable recommendations for the period.

To determine profitability, we do not look at your brokerage account, nor do we take into consideration whether you actually placed the trades recommended here. We simply measure the system's hypothetical track record here on the Collective2 Web site, without factoring fees or commissions. You will not be charged unless the sum of the trades during the period was profitable.





Recently Closed Trades

Details

Opened ET B/S # Symbol   Price Closed Price Risk P/L
4/1/10 8:20 SELL 1 @USM0 US T-BOND 115 23/32 4/5 10:35 114 20/32 Low $1,094
3/12/10 11:05 BUY 1 @TYM0 US T-NOTE 10 YR 116 52/64 3/25 12:07 115 50/64 Low ($1,031)
3/11/10 9:01 BUY 1 @USM0 US T-BOND 116 10/32 3/24 8:20 116 31/32 Low $657
2/17/10 13:04 SELL 1 @USH0 US T-BOND 117 6/32 2/23 13:07 117 29/32 Low ($718)
2/10/10 10:00 BUY 1 @TYH0 US T-NOTE 10 YR 118 12/64 2/17 13:15 117 54/64 Low ($344)
2/4/10 8:30 BUY 1 @USH0 US T-BOND 117 29/32 2/17 13:03 117 6/32 Low ($718)
1/19/10 8:21 SELL 1 @USH0 US T-BOND 117 3/32 1/20 8:31 117 28/32 Low ($781)
1/11/10 9:51 SELL 1 @TYH0 US T-NOTE 10 YR 116 10/64 1/14 13:07 116 58/64 Low ($750)
1/13/10 13:21 SELL 1 @USH0 US T-BOND 116 1/32 1/14 13:02 116 26/32 Low ($782)
12/31/09 8:20 SELL 1 @TYH0 US T-NOTE 10 YR 115 43/64 1/7/10 8:20 115 45/64 Low ($31)
12/31/09 8:20 SELL 1 @USH0 US T-BOND 115 22/32 1/7/10 8:20 115 1/32 Low $657
12/3/09 8:20 BUY 1 @TYH0 US T-NOTE 10 YR 118 47/64 12/4 8:30 118 1/64 Low ($718)
12/2/09 10:46 BUY 1 @USH0 US T-BOND 121 13/32 12/3 9:19 120 7/32 Low ($1,187)
11/12/09 8:20 SELL 1 @USZ9 US T-BOND 118 20/32 11/16 8:20 119 30/32 Low ($1,313)
10/16/09 8:20 BUY 1 @TYZ9 US T-NOTE 10 YR 117 54/64 11/12 8:26 118 42/64 Low $812

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Statistics

Analytics  
System has been audited since3/9/2005 (67 months ago)
Trades156
# Profitable74 (47.4%)
# months tracked67
Profitable months32 (47.8%)
Avg trade duration10.9 days
Annual return (compounded)9.0%
Average win$1,932
Average loss$1,004
Profit factor1.7:1
Max peak-to-valley drawdown (historical)21.19%
drawdown periodJune 03, 2005 to June 26, 2007
Correlation w/ S&P-0.121
Sharpe ratio0.889
C2Realism Factor 0%
Keep after worst-case slippage 90.6%
Probabilities of future account loss  
Chance of 10% account loss25.0%
Chance of 20% account loss5.9%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss0.0%
Average Profit to Drawdown (APD)0.45
Average P/L per unit traded$362.43


System Description

Trading the US 30 Year Treasury Bonds Futures and 10 Year Notes. This is a medium term trading systems, holding trades from about 5 to 20 days. Generally there is at least one trade a month, but there can be no trades in certain months. Since the system come with a profitability guarantee, there are not charge for months like that. Please see our website for the month to month results.

The system trade only during the day session and signals are generated in the evenings for the next day. This is not a daytrading system. Trades can be either made on the open outcry contracts (US, TY), or the electronically traded contracts (ZB, ZN) as long as the trades are only valid during the day session. Many online brokers allow orders to be triggered at a certain time, which allow one, even on the electronically traded contracts to park the order until the day session open.

Entries and exits are both made with stop, or limit orders. All orders are placed the evening before and is valid for the whole next day, which in general should allow similar fills in real accounts than on C2.

Please review the historical trades and notice that we trade a realistic number of contracts and do not trades dozens of contracts, or 10000s of stocks for only a few ticks of profits. Our system is longer term, which make slippage much less of a problem and real trades will be very close to what you see on here.

Futher information and backtested results since 1983 can be seen at: http://www.creativetradingsystems.com

- This System Description text was submitted by the creator of this strategy. Collective2 verifies only trading signals and hypothetical trading results. We have not verified that this text above is an accurate system description.